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Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Conclusion

The path less traveled.

Investing or trading, is very personal.
The media, education, people around you and even goverment, try to influence you for certain reason.
In your journey, there are times where you find that your ideas or position is against the world.
Believe in yourself, whereby no one is responsible for your decision.
If you happen to fall, you can learn the lesson from your own decision.
The path less traveled, whereby 20% success and 80% failed.
Its begins with you , and end with you.

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Introduction

I am writing something simple and practical.

In this information era, overflow of infomation become a challenge.

My believe : Anything that is useful to you is good knowledge.
                     Anything that does not help you is bad knowledge.

There are situation whereby it is not a useful knowledge to you due to the fact that you don't understand or know how to apply it. Well, keep an open mind, but don't use it until you find its usefulness.

Hope you will benefit from this articles.

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Imperfection

There is a lot of theory about both fundamental and technical. More of which, there are even more criticism. There is a possibility ( we are not here to discuss which is better, thus just take both are right to certain extents) that both theorys are impecfect.

When we talk about Science and its application, a lot of theory are imperfect. Yet it never stop us from using it and improve on it.

My believe is : As long as it works for you, its a good theory.

The results from the application is most important.

The only problem start when you just begin and not sure which to use and how to use.

I always recommend to start with what you think is most logical. If you think its logical, most likely its not going to conflict with your believe. It will be a good start.
Once you start winning, or see your portfolio growing, keep to it. Than improve on it.

There is a opportunity cost in learning.
First , when you test a method, you might have losses.
Second, at the same time, you miss out on certain good opportunity.
Third, it might give you much confusion. That is to say, there are certain theory that confict with each other, esp if you dont fully understand it.

 

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Saturday, August 20, 2016

Fundamental Vs Technical

Price move due to fundamental.
Price can be predicted by technical.

If the company is making more money, price move due to fundamental.

Techincal tell you if price is trending, support and resistant, over bought or over sold.

Fundamental or Techincal, both are useful, thus they are still very popular this days.
There are alot who combine both.

This here is not to comment which is better, rather, to noted that they are just tools. As long as you can profit from it, it doesn't matter which is which. And also the important of their strength .

Best scenario is you know that price will move due to fundamental and predict the movement by techincal.

 

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Friday, August 19, 2016

Portfolio Management Vs Money Management

Investor need to allocate their assets. Thus with the given amount, they will need to track and control which assets they have, to increase or decrease. Even whether to keep certain percentage as money or near money.

On the other hand, traders need to track their performance. Some might not hold any position over night. Thus they do not need a portfolio to track their assets, since most or all is in money form. What they need infact is money mangement.
Money mangement help to control risk and rate performance.

There are also many case where the person is both a investor and a trader . He might have both system to help him make decision.

Its like running a company.
Property investment firm need to watch their property, loans and returns.
Business need to watch their cash flow, inventory and profit and lost.

For those that depends on investment or trading for a living, cost of living become important. Its like a expenses in business or invesment firm.

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Investor vs Trader

Investors buy asset. Example , house for rental income. Thus investor buy a share because the asset delivers an income stream.
He is concerned about his return on capital as dividend rate.
He start to caluculate his returns based on the dividend rate of return based on the original price.
If the asset price fall, but the dividend remains the same , he see no reason to sell.
If the price rise  dramatically but dividend remain the same, he may sell to reallocate his money for a higher returns.

Traders buy a product from a supplier and sell at a higher price to a consumer.
His income come from the diffrence between the two prices.
The successful trader buys goods that he know others want and could get him a higer price.

Investor reallocate their asset for a higher return with the same level of risk. Example, if  the current price of a share can give you higher dividend in another share, assume both shares give the same risk level, investor sell their current share and buy into the more profitable share. This situation might even result in a lost from the original amount invested.

Traders trade. Thats means to say the profit come from selling for a price different. He sell if the share do not go in the direction he wants and buy into another more potential. Its the same as if you trade perishable goods like foods. If you dont sell those about to turn bad, you might need to throw them away whereby you got nothing back.

What about antiques ? Most buy antiques and take their time to sell. Are they a trader or investor?
If you buy into a company that do not give dividends, but you believe it will grow and give you high profit in the long run, are you investor or trader?

To me, as long as you need to sell inorder to get the profit, its a trade. Its a matter of long term trade or short term trade.

To invest is to allocate money (or sometimes another resource, such as time) in the expectation of some benefit in the future. In finance, the expected future benefit from investment is a return. The return may consist of capital gain and/or investment income, including dividends, interest, rental income etc. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investment

Trade, or commerce, involves the transfer of the ownership of goods or services, from one person or entity to another, in exchange for money, goods or services. A network that allows trade is called a market. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trade

The explanation of trade is simple, a transfer of ownership.
For investment, its more complicated due to the expected future benefit which may consist of capital gain. There seems to be a cross over. Which trader do not trade to expect a future benefit?

Thus I believe that the meaning of traders and investors should be due to the main core functions.  
The transfer of ownership and the allocation of money.

Why is it important to know if you are a trader or investor?

If you are a trader, you should focus on transfer of ownership. Not how cheap the price is, its more of why you believe that someone will buy at a higher price from you .

As a investor, you should focus on your pool of money. How you can get max returns for your assets or money, with a acceptable risk. Your job will be more to allocate where to put your asset. That might even include bonds etc.

The above is my believe and simple definition . Hope it will benefit you.

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